Shahdag 7-Day Snow Forecast

Shahdag Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 19 October 2026 18:49 AEDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Shahdag

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 19 October.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Shahdag Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Shahdag?

Shahdag Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,994m)
Next Snow Expected	30 October
Next Snow Amount	2cm
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	-

Long-range Snow Outlook for Shahdag

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 14℃
Min 7℃

Snow unlikely

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Shahdag Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Shahdag from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Mon 19	Cloudy at altitude, light drizzle below.	Max 14℃ Min 10℃
Tue 20	Cloudy.	Max 13℃ Min 8℃
Wed 21	Fair.	Max 13℃ Min 7℃
Thu 22	Cloudy.	Max 12℃ Min 7℃
Fri 23	Light snow at altitude, light rain below.	Max 10℃ Min 9℃
Sat 24	Light drizzle.	Max 11℃ Min 9℃
Sun 25	Cloudy at altitude, light drizzle below.	Max 11℃ Min 7℃

This Snow Forecast for Shahdag, Azerbaijan gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Shahdag, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Shahdag Snow Forecast updated at 18:49 AEDT, next update expected 00:00 AEDT.

Ensemble forecast for Shahdag, Azerbaijan at 1,435m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Azerbaijan Accommodation (Apartments, Chalets, Hotels) Map

How reliable is the snow in Shahdag?

Shahdag is known for its consistent snow conditions, typically featuring a snow depth of around 1 to 2 meters. With ample snowfall from December to March, skiers should check J2Ski for the latest snow reports.

Off-Piste Safety in Shahdag

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Shahdag, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.