Serra da Estrela 7-Day Snow Forecast

Serra da Estrela Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 28 September 2026 10:47 AEST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Serra da Estrela

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 28 September.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Serra da Estrela Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Serra da Estrela?

Serra da Estrela Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,924m)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Serra da Estrela.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Serra da Estrela

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 16℃
Min 4℃

Snow unlikely

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Serra da Estrela Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Serra da Estrela from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Mon 28	Cloudy.	Max 15℃ Min 8℃
Tue 29	Cloudy.	Max 14℃ Min 8℃
Wed 30	Rain showers.	Max 10℃ Min 5℃
Thu 01	Cloudy.	Max 15℃ Min 4℃
Fri 02	Light drizzle.	Max 16℃ Min 9℃
Sat 03	Light drizzle.	Max 14℃ Min 9℃
Sun 04	Light drizzle.	Max 10℃ Min 8℃

No significant snowfall is forecast for this period.

This Snow Forecast for Serra da Estrela, Portugal gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Serra da Estrela, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Serra da Estrela Snow Forecast updated at 10:47 AEST, next update expected 16:00 AEST.

Ensemble forecast for Serra da Estrela, Portugal at 1,880m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Typically, Serra da Estrela boasts a snow depth of 30-50 cm during peak season, with reliable snowfall from December to March. For the latest conditions, check J2Ski for updates on snow information.

Off-Piste Safety in Serra da Estrela

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Serra da Estrela, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.