Mount Elbrus 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Elbrus Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 24 April 2026 05:47 AEST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Elbrus

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 23 April.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Elbrus Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Elbrus?

Mount Elbrus Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (2,890m)
Next Snow Expected	23 April
Next Snow Amount	17cm
Next 48 Hours	21cm
Next 7 Days	24cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Elbrus

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 8℃
Min -5℃

31cm New Snow

Snow Line from 2,795m to resort level (1,980m).

Powder Alert!

Powder Alarm issued 24 April 2026 07:54 AEST

Powder Possible :- 21cm of Fresh Snow is forecast for Mount Elbrus over the next 2 days.

Mount Elbrus Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Elbrus from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Thu 23	13cm to 23cm New Snow Heavy snow showers. Snow Line from 2,134m to resort level (1,980m).	Max 3℃ Min 0℃
Fri 24	2cm to 3cm New Snow Light snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (1,980m).	Max -1℃ Min -5℃
Sat 25	1cm to 3cm New Snow Heavy snow showers at altitude, light rain showers below. Snow falling to resort level (1,980m).	Max 1℃ Min -5℃
Sun 26	up to 2cm New Snow Snow showers at altitude, rain showers below. Snow Line from 2,795m to 2,657m, with rain below.	Max 7℃ Min -2℃
Mon 27	Cloudy.	Max 6℃ Min 1℃
Tue 28	Clear sky at altitude, fair below.	Max 6℃ Min -1℃
Wed 29	Clear spells at altitude, fair below.	Max 8℃ Min -1℃

This Snow Forecast for Mount Elbrus, Russia gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Elbrus, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Elbrus Snow Forecast updated at 05:47 AEST, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Elbrus, Russia at 1,980m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Elbrus

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Elbrus, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.