Shemshak 7-Day Snow Forecast

Shemshak Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 03 May 2026 10:40 AEST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Shemshak

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 3 May.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Shemshak Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Shemshak?

Shemshak Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (2,800m)
Next Snow Expected	12 May
Next Snow Amount	5cm
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	-

Long-range Snow Outlook for Shemshak

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 15℃
Min 2℃

Snow unlikely

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Shemshak Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Shemshak from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sun 03	Fair.	Max 11℃ Min 2℃
Mon 04	Clear sky at altitude, light rain showers below.	Max 12℃ Min 2℃
Tue 05	Clear spells.	Max 14℃ Min 4℃
Wed 06	Clear spells at altitude, rain showers below.	Max 15℃ Min 3℃
Thu 07	Clear sky.	Max 13℃ Min 4℃
Fri 08	Clear sky at altitude, cloudy below.	Max 13℃ Min 4℃
Sat 09	Clear sky.	Max 15℃ Min 4℃

This Snow Forecast for Shemshak, Iran gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Shemshak, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Shemshak Snow Forecast updated at 10:40 AEST, next update expected 16:00 AEST.

Ensemble forecast for Shemshak, Iran at 2,550m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Shemshak enjoys a reliable snow season, typically seeing over 4 meters of snowfall annually. The snow depth usually ranges from 100 cm to 300 cm, ensuring excellent conditions throughout the winter; check J2Ski for the latest snow updates.

Off-Piste Safety in Shemshak

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Shemshak, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.