Tsubetsu 7-Day Snow Forecast

Tsubetsu Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 21 April 2026 20:41 AEST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 21 April.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Tsubetsu?

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast Highlights - JMA
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (718m)
Next Snow Expected	24 April
Next Snow Amount	1cm
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	2cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Tsubetsu

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 14℃
Min -3℃

2cm New Snow

Snow falling to resort level (490m).

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Tsubetsu Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu from OpenMeteo(JMA)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 21	Rain showers.	Max 10℃ Min 2℃
Wed 22	Fair.	Max 11℃ Min 1℃
Thu 23	Fair.	Max 11℃ Min 0℃
Fri 24	1cm New Snow Light snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (490m).	Max 2℃ Min -2℃
Sat 25	1cm New Snow Clear sky. Snow falling to resort level (490m).	Max 8℃ Min -3℃
Sun 26	Clear sky.	Max 13℃ Min 0℃
Mon 27	Clear spells.	Max 14℃ Min 5℃

This Snow Forecast for Tsubetsu, Japan gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Tsubetsu, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Tsubetsu Snow Forecast updated at 20:41 AEST, next update expected 02:00 AEST.

Ensemble forecast for Tsubetsu, Japan at 490m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Tsubetsu enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snow depth of 150 cm during peak season. Regular snowfall ensures excellent skiing throughout the winter; check J2Ski for the latest snow updates and conditions.

Off-Piste Safety in Tsubetsu

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Tsubetsu, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.