Mount Cheeseman 7-Day Snow Forecast

Mount Cheeseman Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

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Updated 12 August 2026 10:47 AEST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 12 August.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Mount Cheeseman?

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (1,707m)
Next Snow Expected	15 August
Next Snow Amount	1cm
Next 48 Hours	1cm
Next 7 Days	4cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Mount Cheeseman

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 7℃
Min -6℃

4cm New Snow

Snow Line from 1,571m to resort level (1,540m).

Mount Cheeseman Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Wed 12	Cloudy.	Max 5℃ Min 0℃
Thu 13	1cm New Snow Light snow. Snow falling to resort level (1,540m).	Max 6℃ Min -3℃
Fri 14	Clear sky.	Max 7℃ Min -5℃
Sat 15	1cm to 2cm New Snow Light snow. Snow falling to resort level (1,540m).	Max 2℃ Min -5℃
Sun 16	1cm New Snow Cloudy. Snow falling to resort level (1,540m).	Max 1℃ Min -6℃
Mon 17	Fair.	Max 0℃ Min -5℃
Tue 18	Light snow showers.	Max 1℃ Min -3℃

This Snow Forecast for Mount Cheeseman, New Zealand gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Mount Cheeseman, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Mount Cheeseman Snow Forecast updated at 10:47 AEST, next update expected 16:00 AEST.

Ensemble forecast for Mount Cheeseman, New Zealand at 1,540m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Forecast near Mount Cheeseman

Snow Forecasts for Ski Resorts near Mount Cheeseman
Ski Area	48 Hr	7 Day
Temple Basin	5cm	5cm
Broken River	1cm	4cm
Craigieburn	-	3cm

Snow Reliability

Mount Cheeseman typically enjoys reliable snow conditions, with an average snowfall of 3-5 meters each season. For the latest snow reports and conditions, check J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Mount Cheeseman

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Mount Cheeseman, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.