Sarikamis 7-Day Snow Forecast

Sarikamis Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

ECMWF IFS

GFS

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Updated 05 May 2026 11:44 AEST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Sarikamis

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 5 May.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Sarikamis Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Sarikamis?

Sarikamis Snow Forecast Highlights - ECMWF IFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (2,067m)
Next Snow Expected	6 May
Next Snow Amount	1cm
Next 48 Hours	1cm
Next 7 Days	2cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Sarikamis

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 19℃
Min 1℃

3cm New Snow

Snow Line from 2,531m to 1,608m, with rain below.

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Sarikamis Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Sarikamis from OpenMeteo(ECMWF IFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 05	Light snow showers at altitude, light rain showers below.	Max 12℃ Min 3℃
Wed 06	up to 1cm New Snow Light snow showers at altitude, light rain showers below. Snow Line from 2,131m to 1,608m, with rain below.	Max 12℃ Min 2℃
Thu 07	Light snow showers at altitude, light rain showers below.	Max 14℃ Min 1℃
Fri 08	up to 2cm New Snow Light snow showers at altitude, light rain showers below. Snow Line from 2,054m to 1,900m, with rain below.	Max 12℃ Min 4℃
Sat 09	Clear sky at altitude, fair below.	Max 18℃ Min 3℃
Sun 10	Light snow at altitude, drizzle below.	Max 19℃ Min 6℃
Mon 11	Light snow at altitude, drizzle below.	Max 18℃ Min 7℃

This Snow Forecast for Sarikamis, Turkey gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Sarikamis, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Sarikamis Snow Forecast updated at 11:44 AEST, next update expected 17:00 AEST.

Ensemble forecast for Sarikamis, Turkey at 1,500m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Sarikamis enjoys reliable snow conditions, with average snow depth reaching up to 150 cm during peak season. For the latest snow reports and updates, be sure to visit J2Ski.

Off-Piste Safety in Sarikamis

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Sarikamis, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.