Pajarito Mountain 7-Day Snow Forecast

Pajarito Mountain Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 13 October 2026 16:45 AEDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Pajarito Mountain

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 13 October.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Pajarito Mountain Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Pajarito Mountain?

Pajarito Mountain Snow Forecast Highlights - GFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (2,962m)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Pajarito Mountain.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Pajarito Mountain

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 14℃
Min -1℃

Snow unlikely

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Pajarito Mountain Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Pajarito Mountain from OpenMeteo(GFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Tue 13	Clear sky at altitude, fair below.	Max 13℃ Min 5℃
Wed 14	Clear sky.	Max 10℃ Min -1℃
Thu 15	Clear sky.	Max 11℃ Min -1℃
Fri 16	Clear sky.	Max 10℃ Min -1℃
Sat 17	Clear sky.	Max 12℃ Min -1℃
Sun 18	Cloudy.	Max 11℃ Min 4℃
Mon 19	Clear sky.	Max 14℃ Min 2℃

No significant snowfall is forecast for this period.

This Snow Forecast for Pajarito Mountain, United States gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Pajarito Mountain, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Pajarito Mountain Snow Forecast updated at 16:45 AEDT, next update expected 22:00 AEDT.

Ensemble forecast for Pajarito Mountain, USA at 2,743m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

United States Accommodation (Apartments, Chalets, Hotels) Map

How reliable is the snow in Pajarito Mountain?

Pajarito Mountain typically enjoys a snow depth of around 50 inches during peak season. For the latest snow conditions and reliable forecasts, check J2Ski for up-to-date information.

Off-Piste Safety in Pajarito Mountain

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Pajarito Mountain, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.