Smugglers Notch 7-Day Snow Forecast

Smugglers Notch Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 02 July 2026 22:40 AEST

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 2 July.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Smugglers Notch?

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights - GFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (715m)
Next Snow?
There is no snow currently in the forecast for Smugglers Notch.

Long-range Snow Outlook for Smugglers Notch

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 28℃
Min 13℃

Snow unlikely

Smugglers Notch Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch from OpenMeteo(GFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Thu 02	Clear sky at altitude, thunderstorms below.	Max 28℃ Min 21℃
Fri 03	Clear sky at altitude, cloudy below.	Max 27℃ Min 20℃
Sat 04	Light drizzle.	Max 23℃ Min 14℃
Sun 05	Clear sky.	Max 25℃ Min 13℃
Mon 06	Cloudy.	Max 28℃ Min 13℃
Tue 07	Cloudy.	Max 18℃ Min 14℃
Wed 08	Cloudy.	Max 19℃ Min 13℃

No significant snowfall is forecast for this period.

This Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch, United States gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Smugglers Notch, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast updated at 22:40 AEST, next update expected 04:00 AEST.

Ensemble forecast for Smugglers Notch, USA at 320m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

Snow Reliability

Smugglers Notch enjoys reliable snowfall, typically accumulating over 300 inches annually. Snow depths are usually ample throughout the season, with periodic updates available on J2Ski for the latest conditions.

Off-Piste Safety in Smugglers Notch

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Smugglers Notch, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.