Smugglers Notch 7-Day Snow Forecast

Smugglers Notch Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 20 March 2026 22:40 AEDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 20 March.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Smugglers Notch?

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights - GFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (715m)
Next Snow Expected	20 March
Next Snow Amount	5cm
Next 48 Hours	17cm
Next 7 Days	20cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Smugglers Notch

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 7℃
Min -13℃

23cm New Snow

Snow Line from 1,079m to resort level (320m).

Powder Alert!

Powder Alarm issued 21 March 2026 03:44 AEDT

Powder Possible :- 17cm of Fresh Snow is forecast for Smugglers Notch over the next 2 days.

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Smugglers Notch Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch from OpenMeteo(GFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Fri 20	up to 8cm New Snow Snow showers at altitude, rain showers below. Snow Line from 1,079m to resort level (320m).	Max 3℃ Min -2℃
Sat 21	2cm to 4cm New Snow Light snow showers at altitude, light rain showers below. Snow falling to resort level (320m).	Max 1℃ Min -3℃
Sun 22	9cm New Snow Heavy snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (320m).	Max 1℃ Min -3℃
Mon 23	2cm New Snow Light snow showers. Snow falling to resort level (320m).	Max -2℃ Min -11℃
Tue 24	Cloudy.	Max 0℃ Min -13℃
Wed 25	Light snow showers.	Max -1℃ Min -8℃
Thu 26	Cloudy.	Max 7℃ Min -6℃

This Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch, United States gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Smugglers Notch, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast updated at 22:40 AEDT, next update expected imminently.

Ensemble forecast for Smugglers Notch, USA at 320m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

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Snow Forecast near Smugglers Notch

Snow Forecasts for Ski Resorts near Smugglers Notch
Ski Area	48 Hr	7 Day
Stowe	21cm	25cm
Bolton Valley Resort	15cm	18cm
Bolton Valley	11cm	13cm
Cochran	8cm	10cm
Craftsbury	3cm	3cm

Snow Reliability

Smugglers Notch enjoys reliable snowfall, typically accumulating over 300 inches annually. Snow depths are usually ample throughout the season, with periodic updates available on J2Ski for the latest conditions.

Off-Piste Safety in Smugglers Notch

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Smugglers Notch, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.