Smugglers Notch 7-Day Snow Forecast

Smugglers Notch Long-Range Snow Forecast Updated today

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Updated 12 October 2026 04:43 AEDT

Long-Range Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch

Long-range (14 to 45 days) from 11 October.

For Forecast detail, see below.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights

When will there be fresh snow in Smugglers Notch?

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast Highlights - GFS
Snowfall prediction at mid-mountain (715m)
Next Snow Expected	17 October
Next Snow Amount	5cm
Next 48 Hours	-
Next 7 Days	5cm

Long-range Snow Outlook for Smugglers Notch

Snowfall

Snow Line

Max 18℃
Min -2℃

8cm New Snow

Snow Line from 1,069m to resort level (320m).

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Smugglers Notch Long-Range (2 weeks+) Snow Forecast Outlook

Note :- Mountain weather is extremely dynamic; the forecast below will change. Any forecast snow may move forward or back in the forecast, and predicted snowfall depths will be revised in subsequent updates.

16 Day Weather and Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch from OpenMeteo(GFS)
	Snow and Weather	Temp Town
Sun 11	Cloudy.	Max 18℃ Min 6℃
Mon 12	Fog.	Max 13℃ Min 10℃
Tue 13	Light drizzle.	Max 11℃ Min 8℃
Wed 14	Cloudy.	Max 14℃ Min 8℃
Thu 15	Cloudy.	Max 9℃ Min 4℃
Fri 16	up to 2cm New Snow Light snow at altitude, drizzle below. Snow Line from 1,019m to 739m, with rain below.	Max 10℃ Min 2℃
Sat 17	3cm to 5cm New Snow Light snow showers. Snow Line from 1,069m to resort level (320m).	Max 2℃ Min -2℃

This Snow Forecast for Smugglers Notch, United States gives the predicted Snowfall and Freezing Levels for the next week.

The forecast snowfall depths given are the likely average accumulations for the Lower and Upper slopes. The actual snow depth in Smugglers Notch, on any given trail or itinerary, may be dramatically different, particularly if the snowfall is accompanied by high winds and/or varying air temperatures.

Snow Forecasts beyond two days ahead are subject to significant change and variable reliability.

Smugglers Notch Snow Forecast updated at 04:43 AEDT, next update expected 10:00 AEDT.

Ensemble forecast for Smugglers Notch, USA at 320m

Daily Mean Temperature (yellow line is control)

Daily Total Precipitation (blue line is control)

What are Forecast Ensembles ? Multiple forecasts from running the same weather model with slightly different inputs. The prominent line (the 'control') is the model output from standard inputs, the thinner lines are the variations. Plotted together, they show a range of possible outcomes; the closer they are, the higher the confidence.

How to read Long Range Ensemble Forecasts

These forecasts are from ECMWF EC46, a long-range, low-resolution (area) model. They may not accurately reflect local conditions and should be read as area forecasts, indicating whether the coming weeks are likely to be warmer, colder, wetter, or drier than average.

What to look for?

Temperatures trending downward at the same time as precipitation spikes upward... means snow!

Lines close together indicate a high confidence, while wider spreads signal uncertainty.

United States Accommodation (Apartments, Chalets, Hotels) Map

Snow Forecast near Smugglers Notch

Snow Forecasts for Ski Resorts near Smugglers Notch
Ski Area	48 Hr	7 Day
Bolton Valley Resort	-	8cm
Stowe	-	8cm
Bolton Valley	-	5cm
Cochran	-	3cm

How reliable is the snow in Smugglers Notch?

Smugglers Notch enjoys reliable snowfall, typically accumulating over 300 inches annually. Snow depths are usually ample throughout the season, with periodic updates available on J2Ski for the latest conditions.

Off-Piste Safety in Smugglers Notch

Before skiing or snowboarding off-piste in Smugglers Notch, you must assess the local snow conditions. Always check the local Avalanche Risk Level and ski with appropriate safety equipment.